I figure there are a number of you out there who would like my 121-day road trip to be more meaningful to you, but currently don’t have enough at stake for it to feel that way. So I’m providing odds and you can bet.
Number of Bears I Will Have Seen
0 –> 2 to 1
1 –> 4 to 1
2 –> 7 to 1
3 –> 15 to 1
4 or More –> 3 to 1
Mileage At Which Point I First Utter “Man, This Was a Stupid Idea” (or similar)
Over/Under –> 4,812
Will I Have a Mechanical Breakdown?
Yes/No –> 2 to 3
Number of Comments Received About My California License Plate
Over/Under –> 29
Number of National Parks Actually Visited
Over/Under –> 21 (23 are currently in the itinerary in some way or other)
Number of Times Pulled Over
0 –> 2 to 1
1 –> 3 to 1
2 –> 5 to 1
3 –> 10 to 1
4 or more –> 21 to 4
First Infraction for Which Pulled Over
Speeding –> Even
No Front License Plate –> 3 to 1
Weaving –> 9 to 1
Failure to Stop –> 20 to 1
Field –> 9 to 1
Will I Actually Use My Inflatable Kayak?
Yes/No –> 5 to 3
Will I Actually Use My Bike?
Yes/No –> 7 to 5
Will I Actually Fish?
Yes/No –> 5 to 1
Number of Posts to This Blog That I’ll Write During the Trip
Over-Under –> 70
Number of Actual Days I’ll Be on the Trip
Over-Under –> 122
State That, Immediately After the Trip, I’ll Say Was My Favorite
Washington –> 5 to 1
Oregon –> 7 to 1
Montana –> 9 to 1
California –> 10 to 1
Minnesota –> 20 to 1
New Hampshire –> 20 to 1
North Carolina –> 25 to 1
Virginia –> 25 to 1
Tennessee –> 30 to 1
Michigan –> 40 to 1
Vermont –> 40 to 1
Maine –> 40 to 1
South Carolina –> 50 to 1
South Dakota –> 50 to 1
Wyoming –> 60 to 1
West Virginia –> 60 to 1
North Dakota –> 60 to 1
New York –> 100 to 1
Mississippi –> 100 to 1
Kentucky –> 100 to 1
Illinois –> 100 to 1
Georgia –> 150 to 1
Texas –> 150 to 1
Utah –> 150 to 1
Field (other 24 states) –> 12 to 1
Site That, Immediately After the Trip, I’ll Say Was My Favorite
Glacier National Park –> 14 to 1
Olympic National Park –> 20 to 1
Boundary Waters –> 20 to 1
Oregon Coast –> 20 to 1
Yosemite National Park –> 20 to 1
USAF Museum –> 25 to 1
Charleston –> 25 to 1
White Mountains (New Hampshire) –> 25 to 1
Natchez Trace –> 50 to 1
Mt. Baker Area –> 50 to 1
Great Smoky Mountains National Park –> 50 to 1
Field –> Even
(This one’s dodgy — the state one is probably better.)
Number of “Click-It or Ticket” Signs I See
Over-Under –> 187
Will I See a Car on Fire?
Yes/No –> Even
Actual Number of Gallons of Gas Put into Tank
Over-Under –> 1,345
Actual Number of Miles Driven
Over-Under –> 21,844
Actual Number of Miles Hiked (Doesn’t Include Walking Around in Cities)
Over-Under –> 480
Should be enough to get things started. Am open to suggestions on other possible wager subjects. Enjoy.
bkd
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